Got the pid locks working pretty easily, as expected.
But then... Detoured into some truely insane behavior of the Lustre filesystem. It seems that Lustre is perfectly happy to let link() succeed even when there's a file there that it would overwrite. Rather than overwriting the file, Lustre picks an even more crazy way to violate POSIX.. It lets there be 2 files in a directory with the same name, but different contents. Has to be seen to be believed:
hess$ ls pidlock
-r--r--r-- 1 hess root 70 Nov 13 15:07 pidlock
-r--r--r-- 1 hess root 70 Nov 13 15:07 pidlock
hess$ rm pidlock; ls pidlock
-r--r--r-- 1 hess root 74 Nov 13 14:35 pidlock
git-annex's pid locking code now detects this and seems to work even on Lustre. Eep.
I'm clutching my "NO WARRANTY" disclaimer pretty hard though, if anyone wants to use git-annex on Lustre. When POSIX is being violated this badly, it's hard to anticipate what other strangeness might result.